Political analyst on Kavanaugh: “I think his nomination gets confirmed”

Original story at https://www.krdo.com/news/top-stories/political-analyst-on-kavanaugh-i-think-his-nomination-gets-confirmed-/766092980

By: Stephanie Sierra
Posted: July 10, 2018 11:31 AM MDT

COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. – For the second time during his term, President Trump had the opportunity to make another lasting mark on our nation’s highest court.

First, Trump appointed Colorado Judge Neil Gorsuch in April of last year. Now, he’s since nominated Judge Brett Kavanaugh, who’s known for his conservative views on legalized abortion and same-sex marriage.

If confirmed, Kavanaugh will assume the seat of Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy.

A ‘swing seat’ that political analyst Josh Dunn, says hold the most power.

“This has the chance to completely change the trajectory of the Supreme Court.”

Of the nine justices, there will now be five leaning right. Some reports suggest, Kavanugh would be the second most conservative judge next to Justice Clarence Thomas.

“I think his nomination ends up getting confirmed,” said Dunn, who’s a political science professor at UCCS. “I think Kavanaugh is on the Supreme Court before the election.”

Kavanaugh needs a simple majority in the Senate, which is 51 votes.

But, there are concerns on both sides getting to that number.

First, Dunn explains there are 10 democratic senators with districts in pro-Trump areas.

“The pressure is going to be intense,” he said. “If they vote against Trump’s nominee it could cost them their seat in the senate in November.”

Dunn expects at least two or three of those democratic senators may vote for Kavanaugh. But that same fear sits on the Republican side.

Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) are pro-choice and may vote no.

Ultimately, Kavanaugh will have to go before the Judiciary Committee before that final vote in the Senate.